Pre-earnings channel check · Dealer group
Penske Automotive Group (PAG) · Q3 2026
published Oct 21, 2026 · 25 min read · reported Wed, Oct 28, 2026
What the report says
North American Vehicle Transaction Signal
At the stores Penske owned through both years, new-vehicle sales fell 4.2% from a year ago, against a 3.0% fall for the whole new market. In the second quarter the same measure ran 1.5 points ahead of the market, so the new-car lead has gone.
New cars still sold closer to sticker than a year ago while franchise dealers overall moved less, and new Market Days Supply sits inside its typical range.
Used stock grew 18.9% from a year ago, after setting aside cars listed more than 180 days at the same store as service loaners, and used Market Days Supply rose to 38, at the top of our typical range, while used sales at the same stores fell 5.9%; our used measure read too low against the company's own figures in the second quarter.
The headline counts are inflated by the Longo Toyota and Lexus stores in El Monte, California, which our data began to capture fully only in early 2026.
Gross profit per car, finance and insurance, service, trucks and the international business are outside our data and can move the company's quarter a full tier either way.
Full details are in the report.
18 sections · 24 tables · methodology, quality checks and glossary included
Inside
Summary
- Our Overall Take
- The Quarter in Numbers
- Inventory and Pricing Risk
- Electric Vehicles, Geography, and the Two Cases
Full analysis
- 01Overall Verdict and Confidence
- 02Signal Summary Table
- 03Detailed Sales Numbers
- 04Top Brands Sold
- 05What's Sitting on the Lots (Inventory)
- 06Price Position: Sticker, Asking Premium and Discounts
- 07Days to Sell and Market Days Supply
- 08Electric Vehicle Sales
- 09The Positive Case
- 10The Negative Case
- 11ADid Management Get It Right Last Quarter?
- 11BWhat to Watch on the Earnings Call
- 11CPost-Print Accuracy Summary (Penske Q3 2026 Results, October 28, 2026)
- 12Methodology and Glossary
What this report covers
MarketCheck data on retail new and used vehicle sales and inventory at Penske Automotive Group's dealerships in the United States. What we cannot see: Finance & Insurance (F&I) income, parts, service and collision work (aftersales), Penske International (the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan and Australia), Premier Truck Group commercial trucks, Penske Transportation Solutions, wholesale and auction sales, overhead, and gross profit per vehicle. Treat this report as one tile in the investment mosaic: a read on the U.S. car-selling side of the business, not on the whole company.
Not investment advice. MarketCheck is a data and analytics company, not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. The report describes North American retail vehicle activity only and carries its full disclosures.