Investor Desk

Pre-earnings channel check · Dealer group

Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) · Q3 2026

published Oct 21, 2026 · 25 min read · reported Tue, Oct 27, 2026

What the report says

North American Vehicle Transaction Signal

Signal: Cautiously bearishConfidence: Medium

At the stores Asbury had owned since before July 2025, new-vehicle sales fell 9.7% and used sales 10.9% from a year ago, against a North American market down 3.0% on new and 3.4% on used. The decline also shows against the second quarter, so it is not only a year-ago comparison effect.

The trend improved through the quarter. Same-store new sales were down 11.2% in July and 2.1% in September; used went from 14.6% down to 8.9% down. New cars sold closer to sticker than a year ago.

The all-store figures (new +12.5%, used +6.5%) are inflated by the Herb Chambers acquisition and by stores our data began tagging to Asbury only in late 2025, so we do not read them as demand. The same-store figures now compare stores, identified from the seller records carried in Compass, rather than zip codes. Confidence is Medium because our counts tend to run above Asbury's reported units and the store-level panel ran below the company's own same-store comparison last quarter (Section 12).

Used inventory figures exclude cars listed more than 180 days at the same store, an interim rule for service loaners; the used lot after that exclusion is lean, with Market Days Supply of 35.

Full details are in the report.

18 sections · 26 tables · methodology, quality checks and glossary included

Inside

Summary

  1. Our Overall Take
  2. The Quarter in Numbers
  3. Inventory and Pricing Risk
  4. Electric Vehicles, Geography, and the Two Cases

Full analysis

  1. 01Overall Verdict and Confidence
  2. 02Signal Summary Table
  3. 03Detailed Sales Numbers
  4. 04Top Brands Sold
  5. 05What's Sitting on the Lots (Inventory)
  6. 06Price Position: Sticker, Asking Premium and Discounts
  7. 07Days to Sell and Market Days Supply
  8. 08Electric Vehicle Sales
  9. 09The Positive Case
  10. 10The Negative Case
  11. 11ADid Management Get It Right Last Quarter?
  12. 11BWhat to Watch on the Earnings Call
  13. 11CPost-Print Accuracy Summary (Asbury Q3 2026 Results, October 27, 2026)
  14. 12Methodology and Glossary

What this report covers

MarketCheck data on North American retail new and used vehicle sales and inventory at Asbury Automotive Group's dealerships. All statistics calculated here are based on what we see in our data, not influenced by company disclosures or other data sources unless specifically named herein. What we cannot see: Finance & Insurance (F&I) income, including the Total Care Auto business and its non-cash deferral; parts, service and collision work; wholesale and auction sales; gross profit per vehicle; overhead, including dealership-software conversion costs; the tax rate; and share repurchases. Any of these can move the reported result in either direction, by more than the vehicle-sales signal here. Treat this report as one tile in the investment mosaic: a read on the car-selling side of the business, not on the whole company.

Not investment advice. MarketCheck is a data and analytics company, not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. The report describes North American retail vehicle activity only and carries its full disclosures.