# Is the carrier's total-loss offer below what similar cars were listed at when they sold?

Canonical URL: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/public-adjusters

> Ask Claude or ChatGPT where a carrier's offer sits against cars like the insured's that left US dealer websites, and get monthly statistics with the priced sample behind every figure. The questions below show the prompts in order, with the results to put in front of the carrier.

Last updated Oct 20, 2026, from the Aug 2026 data month. Every price is an advertised asking price, never a transaction price: MarketCheck observes listings, not settlements, and a sold figure is the last advertised price before a car left the market.

## How to ask this in your assistant

Claude or ChatGPT (ChatGPT works on Free accounts too, with no Developer Mode): add the MarketCheck AI Desk connector at https://ai.marketcheck.com/install, then paste a prompt from this page or ask in your own words. A coding agent (Claude Code, Codex, Cursor, VS Code, Windsurf, Gemini CLI, opencode) sets itself up with one line: `curl -fsSL https://ai.marketcheck.com/install.sh | sh`. Or paste this into any assistant: "Set up MarketCheck AI Desk: https://ai.marketcheck.com/llms.txt". A standard question is $3.00, charged to the prepaid balance only when the call succeeds.

Every answer below comes from the [Sold Market Data](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data) tool (`get_market_insights`, Beta, from $3.00 per call, priced by request shape; markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data.md): the answer first, then the prompts to send, in order, each with its real result, trimmed for display.

## Where does the carrier's offer sit in the market band for the insured car?

In Aug 2026, 2021 Honda Accord Sports in California listed between $20,406 and $24,149 on 95 priced sales, so an offer under $20,406 sits below three in four comparable asking prices. Ask for the insured car's band in its state (low end, median, high end and 95th percentile), then six months of it.

### Step 1: Band the insured car

Ask:

```text
What were used 2021 Honda Accord Sports listed at when they sold in California in August 2026? Give the low end, median, high end and 95th percentile.
```

What came back, 1 row:

| Month | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | 95th percentile asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| Aug '26 | 102 | 95 | $20,406 | $22,485 | $24,149 | $28,707 | 73,975 |

What to do with it: Half of the 95 priced sales listed between $20,406 and $24,149 around a $22,485 median, and the top 5 percent above $28,707. An offer under $20,406 sits below the asking price of three in four comparable cars.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

### Step 2: Show six months, not one

Then ask, in the same chat:

```text
Show the same band for each of the six months to August 2026.
```

What came back, 6 rows:

| Month | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| Aug '26 | 95 | $20,406 | $22,485 | $24,149 | 73,975 |
| Jul '26 | 67 | $20,080 | $22,079 | $24,999 | 77,729 |
| Jun '26 | 89 | $21,133 | $23,284 | $24,999 | 70,329 |
| May '26 | 88 | $20,886 | $22,999 | $24,923 | 70,853 |
| Apr '26 | 101 | $20,999 | $22,891 | $24,992 | 68,416 |
| Mar '26 | 82 | $20,921 | $22,692 | $24,727 | 67,160 |

What to do with it: The median stayed between $22,079 and $23,284 for six months, on 67 to 101 priced sales a month, so the band holds beyond a single month.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

## Did the carrier's comparables carry more miles than the insured car?

If they did, the offer is low by the gap between the two mileage bands. In Aug 2026, 2020 Toyota Highlander XLEs with 30,000 to 50,000 miles listed at a $32,074 median nationally, against $28,705 at 70,000 to 90,000 miles: $3,370 apart. Band the insured car's mileage, then the comparables' mileage.

### Step 1: Band the insured car's mileage

Ask:

```text
The insured 2020 Toyota Highlander XLE had 40,000 miles. What did 2020 Highlander XLEs with 30,000 to 50,000 miles list at nationally in August 2026? Give the low end, median and high end.
```

What came back, 1 row:

| Month | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| Aug '26 | 45 | 45 | $30,990 | $32,074 | $34,900 | 42,940 |

What to do with it: 45 priced sales at 30,000 to 50,000 miles put the median at $32,074, between $30,990 and $34,900.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

### Step 2: Band the carrier's comparables

Then ask, in the same chat:

```text
The carrier's comparables had about 80,000 miles. Show the same car with 70,000 to 90,000 miles.
```

What came back, 1 row:

| Month | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| Aug '26 | 104 | 102 | $27,289 | $28,705 | $29,995 | 78,594 |

What to do with it: At 70,000 to 90,000 miles the median was $28,705 on 102 priced sales, $3,370 below the insured car's band: ask the carrier to adjust its comparables to the insured car's odometer.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

## Did the insured's higher trim list higher than the base trim the carrier used?

Yes. In Aug 2026, 2021 Ford F-150 Lariats listed at a $36,905 median in Florida against $25,485 for the XL, $11,420 apart, and nationally the gap was $10,010. Rank the model year's trims with the low end and high end in the insured's state, then nationally.

### Step 1: Rank the trims in the state

Ask:

```text
For 2021 Ford F-150s that sold in Florida in August 2026, show the three best-selling trims with the low end, median and high end asking price.
```

What came back for Aug '26, 3 rows:

| Trim | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| XLT | 120 | 117 | $28,969 | $31,999 | $36,194 | 79,549 |
| Lariat | 59 | 58 | $33,925 | $36,905 | $39,861 | 76,155 |
| XL | 56 | 51 | $20,874 | $25,485 | $28,334 | 87,034 |

What to do with it: The Lariat listed at a $36,905 median against $25,485 for the XL, $11,420 apart at similar odometers (76,155 miles and 87,034 miles). Hold the carrier to comparables on the insured's trim.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

### Step 2: Confirm the gap nationally

Then ask, in the same chat:

```text
Now the same XLT, Lariat and XL trims nationally, to show the gap is not a Florida quirk.
```

What came back for Aug '26, 3 rows:

| Trim | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| XLT | 1,569 | 1,461 | $28,144 | $32,096 | $35,111 | 78,485 |
| Lariat | 804 | 758 | $32,995 | $37,191 | $40,684 | 76,690 |
| XL | 798 | 728 | $23,181 | $27,182 | $30,625 | 83,984 |

What to do with it: Nationally the Lariat sat $10,010 above the XL on 1,486 priced sales between them, against $11,420 in Florida, $1,410 apart.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

## Did the carrier use comparables from an older model year?

Then the offer is low by about one model year's gap. In Aug 2026, used Honda Pilot EX-Ls listed at a $25,900 median for 2021 and $23,781 for 2020 nationally, $2,120 apart, and every newer year listed higher. Line up the model years and hold the carrier to the insured car's year.

Ask:

```text
For used Honda Pilot EX-Ls that sold nationally in August 2026, show model years 2019 to 2022 side by side: low end, median and high end asking price and the median odometer.
```

What came back for Aug '26, 4 rows:

| Model year | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2022 | 125 | 121 | $26,568 | $28,426 | $30,848 | 60,502 |
| 2021 | 253 | 239 | $23,759 | $25,900 | $27,997 | 72,424 |
| 2020 | 288 | 278 | $21,135 | $23,781 | $26,192 | 82,679 |
| 2019 | 359 | 330 | $19,106 | $21,577 | $24,091 | 91,721 |

What to do with it: The median rose from $21,577 for a 2019 to $28,426 for a 2022, about $2,280 for each newer model year, with the odometer falling from 91,721 miles to 60,502 miles: an insured car valued on older comparables loses that step.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

## Were the carrier's comparables pulled from a cheaper state?

In Aug 2026, 2021 Toyota RAV4s listed at a $27,998 median in Pennsylvania against $26,998 in New Jersey, so New Jersey comparables understate a Pennsylvania value. Ask for the insured car's model year in its own state and the neighbors the comparables came from, then three months of the two that matter.

### Step 1: Compare the neighboring states

Ask:

```text
For 2021 Toyota RAV4s that sold in August 2026, compare Pennsylvania with New Jersey, New York and Connecticut: low end, median and high end asking price and the median odometer.
```

What came back for Aug '26, 4 rows:

| State | Units sold | Priced sales | Low end asking price | Median asking price | High end asking price | Median odometer | Thin sample |
| --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | --- |
| PA | 86 | 81 | $25,385 | $27,998 | $30,489 | 65,384 | No |
| NY | 100 | 96 | $26,089 | $27,883 | $29,991 | 56,597 | No |
| NJ | 61 | 55 | $24,492 | $26,998 | $28,991 | 71,802 | No |
| CT | 29 | 26 | $26,600 | $28,355 | $29,996 | 62,540 | Yes |

What to do with it: Pennsylvania's $27,998 median sat $116 above New York and $1,000 above New Jersey; the Connecticut row is thin, so leave it out. Ask the carrier which state its comparables came from.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

### Step 2: Show the gap over three months

Then ask, in the same chat:

```text
Show Pennsylvania against New Jersey for each of the three months to August 2026.
```

What came back, 6 rows:

| Month | State | Units sold | Priced sales | Median asking price | Median odometer |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| Aug '26 | PA | 86 | 81 | $27,998 | 65,384 |
| Aug '26 | NJ | 61 | 55 | $26,998 | 71,802 |
| Jul '26 | PA | 80 | 74 | $27,805 | 66,508 |
| Jul '26 | NJ | 64 | 59 | $27,750 | 61,199 |
| Jun '26 | PA | 82 | 80 | $28,221 | 65,639 |
| Jun '26 | NJ | 51 | 43 | $26,989 | 57,029 |

What to do with it: Pennsylvania listed above New Jersey in all 3 months, by $55 to $1,232: put the monthly rows in the file so the gap reads as a pattern across months.

Cost: $3.00 per call (1 call unit).

## More questions

**Are these the prices buyers paid?** No. Every price is the advertised asking price when the car left the dealer website; the negotiated price is private and is not in the data. Cite the figures as listing evidence, with the month and the priced sample beside each one.

**How do I read the low end and high end?** The low end is the asking price a quarter of comparable cars listed under; the high end, the one a quarter listed over. An offer under the low end sits below the asking price of three in four comparable cars, and the 95th percentile marks the top 5 percent.

**How many sales back each figure?** Every row states its units sold and its priced sample, the sales with an asking price behind every price figure. A row on fewer than 30 priced sales is marked as a thin sample: read it as a direction only. Widen to the model year without the trim, or to the neighboring states, and say so in the file.

**What does a call cost?** $3.00 per call unit, paid from your prepaid balance and only after a successful call; a refused or failed call costs nothing. Every prompt on this page is 1 unit ($3.00), so all 9 prompts come to 9 units ($27.00).

**How current is the data?** It is monthly, and each month lands one to two months after it ends, so date every figure to its data month when you send it. The examples on this page are from Aug 2026. It covers US dealers only, back to January 2021, at most 12 months per call.

**How do I get started?** Add the MarketCheck AI Desk connector to Claude or ChatGPT; it is free to add, and ChatGPT works on Free accounts too. Then paste a prompt from this page or ask in your own words, and each call is charged to your prepaid balance only when it succeeds.

## Reports that answer the same need

- [Total Loss Valuation Worksheet](https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/total-loss-valuation-worksheet): The total-loss file: clean-title comparables, mileage adjustment, salvage or branded-title markdown, carrier-offer gap, branded Excel. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/total-loss-valuation-worksheet.md
- [ACV (Actual Cash Value) Worksheet](https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/fmv-appraisal-worksheet): The appraiser's ACV worksheet: hand-picked comparables, mileage adjustment, insurer-offer comparison, branded Excel. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/fmv-appraisal-worksheet.md
- [Total Loss Report](https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/total-loss-report): Actual Cash Value for a totaled vehicle with insurance-grade evidence. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/total-loss-report.md
- [Diminished Value Worksheet](https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/diminished-value-worksheet): Post-repair loss in value, argued from comparables the appraiser picks, by 17c or by percentage. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/reports/diminished-value-worksheet.md

## Use cases for other segments

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  - [What should I stock next month, and at what asking price?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealers#what-to-stock)
  - [Which used cars under $15,000 sell fastest in my state?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealers#fast-under-15000)
  - [Should I stock used EVs and hybrids in my state, and which ones?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealers#ev-and-hybrid-demand)
  - [Are used pickup prices rising or falling in my state, and when do trucks sell fastest?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealers#pickup-prices-and-season)
  - [Who is outselling me in my city, and with which cars?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealers#who-outsells-me)
  - [Do independents and franchise stores sell the same used cars in my state?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealers#independent-vs-franchise)
- [Sold Market Data for dealership groups](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealer-groups): Rank your group against its rivals state by state, and find the markets that turn a franchise fastest before you bid. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealer-groups.md
  - [Where does our group rank nationally, and how fast do we turn against named rivals?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/dealer-groups#group-leaderboard)
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  - [What is the market band for this exact vehicle, and does the mileage-matched national band agree?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/appraisers#band-the-vehicle)
  - [How much does mileage change the asking price of the same vehicle?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/appraisers#mileage-adjustment)
  - [How much does 4WD add to the asking price, and does it change by state?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/appraisers#drivetrain-adjustment)
  - [Does a manual transmission add or take away value?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/appraisers#manual-vs-automatic)
  - [How much has the market moved since my comparable sold, with mileage held steady?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/appraisers#time-adjust-a-comp)
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- [Sold Market Data for attorneys](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/attorneys): Dated, cited market statistics for a vehicle's value on a past date, and for overpricing, price-spike and odometer claims. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/attorneys.md
  - [What was the vehicle worth on the date of loss, and on how many sales does that rest?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/attorneys#value-on-date-of-loss)
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- [Sold Market Data for private sellers](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/private-sellers): Price your own car against what cars like it were listed at when they sold at dealers, and pick the month and mileage to sell. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/private-sellers.md
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- [Sold Market Data for wholesale buyers and exporters](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers): Set a bid from the retail asking price, and see who retails a model and where it lists lowest and highest. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers.md
  - [What will a retail dealer list this car at, and who will buy it from me?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers#retail-ceiling-and-buyers)
  - [Which high-mileage cars still sell fast at retail?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers#high-mileage-retail)
  - [Which state lists a model lowest at retail, and where does it list highest?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers#buy-low-sell-high)
  - [How much does a car's asking price slip for each month I hold it?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers#holding-cost)
  - [Which late-model used cars list closest to their original sticker?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/wholesalers#holds-its-sticker)
- [Sold Market Data for fleet and rental remarketing](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing): Time the sale of late-model fleet units and pick the states and channel that list them highest, with what each 10,000 miles costs. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing.md
  - [Which months do our fleet models list highest, to time the sale?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing#when-to-sell)
  - [In which states do our late-model units list highest at retail?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing#where-to-retail)
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  - [Do franchise or independent dealers list our late-model units higher?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing#franchise-or-independent)
  - [Are our EVs holding value as well as our gas cars?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing#ev-vs-gas-value)
  - [Which one- and two-year-old models clear fastest at retail?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/fleet-remarketing#late-model-fast)
- [Sold Market Data for auto brokers and car-buying services](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers): See which new cars and trims list furthest below sticker, and where the used car your client wants lists for less. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers.md
  - [Which new cars are selling below sticker right now?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers#new-cars-below-sticker)
  - [Which state lists the new car my client wants furthest below sticker?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers#state-for-a-new-car)
  - [Which trims of a new model have the most room below sticker?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers#trim-with-room)
  - [How much cheaper is a one-year-old car than a new one?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers#new-or-nearly-new)
  - [Which state lists the used car my client wants for the least, and who sells it there?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/auto-brokers#where-a-used-car-is-cheaper)
- [Sold Market Data for automotive journalists](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists): Cite what sold, how used prices moved, the EV share, state gaps and seasonal patterns, with the sample size behind every figure. Markdown: https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists.md
  - [What are the best-selling used cars in America right now?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists#best-selling-used-cars)
  - [How much have used pickup prices changed in the last year?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists#used-pickup-prices)
  - [What share of used car sales are electric?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists#ev-share-of-used-sales)
  - [Which states have the most and least expensive used cars?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists#priciest-states)
  - [When is the cheapest time of year to buy a used car?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists#cheapest-month-to-buy)
  - [Which used cars sell fastest in New Jersey?](https://ai.marketcheck.com/data-tools/sold-market-data/journalists#fastest-selling-new-jersey)
